Abstract
Background: Data on associations between left ventricular (LV) strain metrics and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) remains limited, particularly regarding integrated effects of multi-directional strains. This study aimed to investigate the associations of LV global longitudinal strain (GLS), radial strain (GRS) and circumferential strain (GCS) measured by cardiac magnetic resonance with incident AF.</p>
Methods: This prospective cohort study included 36,876 AF-free UK Biobank participants (52.5% female; median age 64.0 years). Incident AF was ascertained via ICD-10 codes. Impaired strain metrics were defined as the absolute value of lower 5%. Cox proportional hazards regression (adjusting for demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, cardiac imaging indices, and clinical features) was performed to assess the associations of LV strain metrics and incident AF.</p>
Results: Over 6.88 ± 1.63 years, 862 incident AF events occurred. GLS (HR 1.22, 95%CI 1.13-1.31), GRS (0.88, 0.80-0.96), and GCS (1.27, 1.15-1.40) were independently associated with AF (all P < 0.01), with J-shaped (GLS/GCS) and reverse J-shaped (GRS) nonlinearity. AF risk increased with the number of impaired strain metrics (P trend < 0.001), more pronounced in ≥ 60 years (HR 1.45 for single, 1.87 for two, 3.36 for three impairments), while <60 years only showed significance with all three impaired (HR 4.09, 95%CI 1.35-12.36).</p>
Conclusion: LV GLS, GRS, and GCS are linked to incident AF. Combined strain impairment improves AF risk stratification, especially in adults ≥ 60 years.</p>